2011年7月16日 星期六

出乎意料

Price Performances
 PriceWeek-To-DateMonth-To-DateYear-To-Date
GLD155.23.3% 6.3% 11.9%
UGL86.566.6% 12.7% 22.4%
SLV38.247.0% 13.0% 26.7%
AGQ207.7813.2% 26.0% 31.0%
GDX59.726.1% 9.4% (2.8%)
GDXJ38.044.5% 10.3% (4.6%)
SLW38.87.0% 17.6% (0.6%)
(as at 15 July 2011)
 
What a difference two weeks make! 月初一開始金價就跌到$1,480,誓創新低咁款。估唔都兩個禮拜後竟然創新高俾你睇!又一次證明"...無論心情幾差都好,呻吓就算啦,記住點都要拃實D貨,死忍坐落去..."。除非係超級高手,否則好難想像一般冇貨在手嘅凡夫俗子响七月一日金價跌穿六月低位後,驚都唔驚,見下一個交易日(七月五日)金價回升就立即知道哩個就係轉角位跳入去追貨。俾你咁叻捕捉到個轉角位,正常做法都係分段加碼 (但咁就食唔盡個升幅啦)。你要叻到知道gold would reach new high in this coming rally所以响哩個轉角位就立刻買滿倉?世外高人也!

我咁有感而發皆因我以前又買又賣硬係坐唔定,錯失咗冇數食盡大浪嘅機會。If you are not a trader, don't pretend to be one.

廢話講完。入正題,GLD連升九日,對上一次九連升已經係2009年十一月中, but that was when the rally was already almost 5 months old and at its mature stage. Then was an exhaustion surge. But this time, the rally just started!Gold stocks 連升四週。無論係黄金實物ETF,leveraged ETF, 定股票ETF,一週計全部有大成交配合,people are buying, seriously buying!

琴日 (星期五) 諗住金價會回一回,佢竟然幾乎收day high,只能講係出乎意料地咁好!不過咁,琴日雖然繼續升,但成交量以經跌咗好多。升得咁急,有冇貨在手都驚啦,大家都想睇定D先。特別係debt ceiling下個禮拜應該搞掂,市場分分鐘壞事當好事辦,即係話增加債務雖然長遠只會另人對美國及美元更失信心,但短線可能有D儍瓜又會好似食咗春藥咁忽然與奮起嚟,話美國唔駛default啦,美元係safe heaven呀,我好鍾意fiat currency呀...咁可能會有資金從黄金流去美債,咁黄金又會跌番D都唔定。如果係咁到時記住入貨呀,有人送錢俾你洗,唔要就笨囉!

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